33 days have passed by since the last earnings report for RPT Realty (NYSE:RPT) and the new quarterly results look set to arrive in 58 days. The shares of RPT at the moment are trading at a volume of 0.45 million, which compares with its normal daily standard volume of 558940 shares. This has led to the shares of the company declining by -0.08%, currently exchanging hands at $11.9 a share. RPT stock has been up by $2.52 (-17.48%) ever since it reached its 52-week high of $14.42 back in December 14, 2018. It has progressed below its 50-day moving average of $11.92 and is down 0% over the past week. The stock has retreated -2.9% since the last one arrived so the question here is that will the downbeat trend in that time frame continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is the RPT share price due for a breakout?
RPT Realty (RPT) Forecasts And Latest Quarter Earnings
Ahead of their fiscal third-quarter to be released on Wednesday, Oct 30, 2019, 5 analysts who are covering the company are estimating that it will record a profit of $0.02 per share, with analysts having different outlooks from $0.01 to $0.03. The current agreed outlook, when compared to the profit recorded last year, is at $0.1 a share, thus a decrease of -80% is expected. The profit view for a complete financial year for RPT Realty is expected to be around $0.16 in current year, a decline of nearly 23.08% from last year which was $0.13.
Let’s now look at their sales section, RPT’s revenue is estimated to be $64.22M, a figure which is less than the $64.22M recorded for Q3 last year. Their sequential sales though are expected to grow by 0.14% from their Q2’s sales which were $57.36M. Their full-year outlook is pegged at $231.59M, implying that there would be a drop of -11.14% over the $260.62M they recorded last year in revenue. RPT Realty is projected to get sales lifted by 1.32% in the next quarter, with a revenue target of $234.65M.
Analyzing The Earnings History Of RPT Realty (NYSE:RPT)
In the past few years, the RPT stock has been known to miss the Wall Street’s earnings projection. The company missed 100% of the time, according to the data pulled on their earnings, was able to meet predictions on 0 occasions and topped expectations 0 times. Looking at the past trend, the price of RPT Realty shares had risen following the release of their earnings in 20 of the last 38 quarters.
Looking back, here is how RPT Realty (RPT) stock reacted to earnings misses and beats. It gave investors reason to cast doubts with the price going down after 2 of the last four earnings reports. The shares of RPT Realty recorded 0.49%, 2.45%, -4.49% and -0.53%, respectively, on the first day of past earnings releases. After a week of earnings reports, the changes were -0.98%, 2.29%, -5.09% and 1.36%. Their post-earnings price movements have resulted in an average decrease of -0.52% and an average decrease of -0.61% in RPT Realty on next day and 7th day, sequentially. RPT’s one month stock performance led to its shares declining by -3.33% with a return of -14.45% witnessed over the last 52 weeks.
The lower number of analysts at Reuters has assigned a buy or better ratings (0) on the RPT Realty stock, while 6 of them have a rating of a Hold with the 11-year target price suggested by the analysts standing at $11.7. This price target implies potential upside of -1.68 percent over the next 12 months based on the current share price.
RPT Realty (RPT) Post Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD)
Back on July 31, 2019, RPT Realty (NYSE:RPT) released its Q2 results, in which it recorded EPS of $0.01 that fell short of consensus estimates of $0.03. After the earnings were reported, the price of RPT stock kicked off the session at $12.17 and remained in a range of $12.35 to $12.47 on the first day. The shares were priced at $12.31 at the close with a total volume of shares being 1092153.
On May 01, 2019, the Q1 earnings report was disclosed with EPS of $0.11. This was above the estimation of $0.03 per share. The stock price range of RPT was between $12.37 and $12.66 on the first-day post announcement, after opening the day at $12.31. The session came to close at $12.54 and there was a total volume of 794777 shares.
February 20, 2019 was the day when its Q4 results were unveiled. The loss came in at -$0.07, missing the projected $0.07 per share. The very next day, RPT stock opened at $12.18 while staying in a range of $12.78 to $13.05. At the end, it moved to $12.75 a total volume of shares been 1716176.
In the year-ago Q3 earnings on October 31, 2018, the company saw profit per share of $0.1. That was better than the $0.03 analysts had expected. RPT Realty share price started at $12.81 on the first full trading day post-earning and then exchanged hands between $13.7 and $13.72 throughout the session. The closing price of $13.21 came on the back of 1245232 shares in volume.